Rising tensions around Taiwan, with the US, China and North Korea all involved, point to a stormy 2026 for East Asia
And even if they don’t, they’ll likely remain tense, according to a 2026 forecast for US-China relations from the Berlin-based Mercator Institute for China Studies. Almost three-quarters of respondents, comprising China experts and observers, see relations deteriorating across the board, from military and trade ties to technology. That’s despite Trump’s most recent decision to let Nvidia sell advanced chips to China, watering down years of national security safeguards.
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